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☀️ Kenya Solar PAYGO Strategic Analytics 🇰🇪

Transforming Raw Installment Data into Credit Risk Intelligence

🎯 Business Context: The PAYGO Challenge

In the Kenyan renewable energy sector, managing 12-month installment plans is a high-stakes balancing act between market expansion and Credit Risk Management. This project bridges the gap between raw daily transactions and executive-level strategic decision-making.

🧠 Strategic Insights & Solved Problems

This dashboard is engineered to solve 3 critical business bottlenecks:

1. Executive Overview: Profitability vs. OPEX

  • The Problem: Scaling sales often masks rising operational costs, leading to "growth without profit."
  • The Solution: A high-level view of Net Margin and Revenue Trends that ensures every solar unit sold contributes to the bottom line. Overview

2. Geographic Intelligence: Regional Collection Risk

  • The Problem: Payment behavior varies significantly across Kenya's 47 counties; a "one-size-fits-all" collection strategy fails.
  • The Solution: Visualizing Collection Rates by County allows management to deploy field agents to high-risk areas while identifying the most stable regions for expansion. Geography

3. Operational Performance: The 12-Month Lifecycle

  • The Problem: Customer "Churn" or default typically peaks at months 3-5.
  • The Solution: An Ownership Progress Tracker that monitors the health of each contract, allowing for early intervention before a customer becomes a "Write-off." Operation

🧪 Technical Deep-Dive (The "Engine")

  • Relational Data Modeling: Built on a professional Star Schema architecture to ensure lightning-fast performance even with high transaction volumes.
  • Advanced DAX Metrics:
    • Collection Efficiency %: Real-time tracking of (Actual Payments / Expected Installments).
    • Portfolio at Risk (PAR): Identifying delinquent accounts based on 30/60/90 day buckets.
  • VBA UI Customization: Implemented an "App-like" experience by programmatically hiding Excel's Ribbon and Formula Bar to keep the user focused on the data.

⚙️ Data Architecture

Data Model

ℹ️ Disclaimer & Data Attribution

  • Project Context: This is a professional simulation/capstone project.
  • Organization: The analysis is based on a fictional entity named ARC Power.
  • Data Nature: The dataset is Synthetic, specifically engineered to mirror the real-world market dynamics, consumer behavior, and cultural payment patterns of the Kenyan Solar Industry. No sensitive or private corporate data has been used.

Main Tools: Excel Power Pivot, DAX, Power Query, VBA.
Specialized for Solar Energy Operations, Financial Modeling, and Market Analytics in East Africa.

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Strategic Business Intelligence Dashboard using Excel Data Modeling (Star Schema) and DAX to analyze solar energy sales performance in Kenya.

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