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<html>
<head>
<meta HTTP-EQUIV="Content-Type" CONTENT="text/html; charset=utf-8">
<meta NAME="Title" CONTENT="State and Local Population Projections Database">
<meta NAME="Author" CONTENT="Eddie Hunsinger">
<meta NAME="Keywords" CONTENT="State and Local Population Projections Database, demography, population projections">
<title>Population Projections Database</title>
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<link rel="shortcut icon" href="https://github.com/AppliedDemogToolbox/applieddemogtoolbox.github.io/raw/master/Images/ToolBoxIcon.png">
<style>
* {
box-sizing: border-box;
}
#projectionsearchInput {
background-position: 10px 12px;
background-repeat: no-repeat;
width: 100%;
font-size: 15px;
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margin-bottom: 10px;
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</head>
<H2 id="TopNotes"></H2>
<body TEXT="#505050" LINK="006699" ALINK="006699" VLINK="006699">
<table WIDTH="100%" NOSAVE >
<table BORDER=0 CELLPADDING=0 align="center" valign="bottom">
<tr NOSAVE>
<td NOSAVE>
<div align=center>
<br></div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table WIDTH="100%" nosave="" ></table>
<blockquote></blockquote>
<table valign="bottom" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="750">
<font FACE="HELVETICA">
</center><p style="margin:0px;font-size:12px">
This <b>State and Local Population Projections Database</b> is an informal collection of population projection reports and materials,
stored as part of the
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none" href="https://applieddemogtoolbox.github.io/">Applied Demography Toolbox</a>.
The collection is for independent analysis of population projections, and is not authoritative for any of the included works.
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none" href="#MoreInfo">More information</a>.
If you have questions, comments, or <a STYLE="text-decoration:none" href="#Additions">additions</a> for the page,
please email me
(<a STYLE="text-decoration:none" href="https://edyhsgr.github.io/">Eddie Hunsinger</a>) at
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none" href="mailto:edyhsgr@gmail.com">edyhsgr@gmail.com</a>.
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none" href="#Acknowledgments">Acknowledgments</a>.
<a href="https://github.com/AppliedDemogToolbox/projectionsdatabase" style="text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">
<img src="https://github.com/AppliedDemogToolbox/applieddemogtoolbox.github.io/raw/master/Images/GitHub-Mark-32px.png" alt="GitHub link" title="GitHub" width="12" height="12" style="border: 0;"/></a>
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</p>
<H2 id="TopSearch"></H2>
</strong><center><br>
<img src="https://github.com/AppliedDemogToolbox/ProjectionsDatabase/raw/main/Images/PopProjDatabase.png" alt="Database logo" title="State and Local Population Projections Database" height="100">
<table valign="bottom" align="left" border="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="750">
</font>
<input type="text" TEXT="#006699" id="projectionsearchInput" onkeyup="projectionsearchFunction()"
placeholder="Filter individual resources by creator, period covered, method attribute, or geographic level">
<select id="methodselect" onChange="projectionsearchFunction()">
<option value="all">Method attributes (all)</option>
<option value="cc">Cohort component</option>
<option value="ccr">Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios)</option>
<option value="extr">Trend extrapolation of population over time</option>
<option value="empl">Employment-based</option>
<option value="hous">Housing-based</option>
<option value="hhold">Household-based</option>
<option value="td">Top-down adjustment</option>
<option value="multireg">Multi-regional methods</option>
<option value="ensem">Ensembling or combining methods</option>
<option value="struct">Econometric or input–output analysis</option>
<option value="expost">Ex-post analysis</option>
<option value="scen">Scenario analysis</option>
<option value="bayes">Bayesian analysis</option>
<option value="stoch">Stochastic simulation</option>
<option value="micro">Microsimulation</option>
</select>
<select id="geogselect" onChange="projectionsearchFunction()">
<option value="all">Geographic levels (all)</option>
<option value="state">State</option>
<option value="region">Region (within state)</option>
<option value="county">County</option>
<option value="subcounty">Sub-county</option>
</select>
<ul id="projectionsearchUL">
<br><br>
<ul id="projectionsearchUL"><u><b>Individual Resources by Creator and Period Covered - Ordered by Year of Publication</b></u></br>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, extr" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:0">North Carolina Office of State Budget & Management, 2020 to 2050<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, trend extrapolation of population over time, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>North Carolina Office of State Budget & Management, 2020 to 2050
<p>(cohort component, trend extrapolation of population over time, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, extr" data-geog="state, region and county">
<H2 id="NCOSBM_NorthCarolina_StateCountyRegionMetro_2020to2050v2020" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">North Carolina Office of State Budget & Management, 2020 to 2050
(cohort component, trend extrapolation of population over time, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Projected Population of the State of North Carolina and North Carolina Counties for July 1, 2020 through July 1, 2050<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> North Carolina Office of State Budget & Management, Demographic & Economic Analysis Section, 2021<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Technical Documentation: "Beginning in March 2020, North Carolina’s population experienced extensive
social and economic disruptions due to the global COVID-19 pandemic. Like the global pandemic of over 100 years ago, this pandemic has affected population
change over the past year and will continue to do so until more of the population is vaccinated and the pandemic is under control.
"These projections are prepared using the same methods and assumptions used for our annual projections – mainly that most recent trends in
population change and in the components of population change (births, deaths, and net migration) continue into the future. However, in order to
account for the impacts of COVID-19, these assumptions were modified for the short term and assume additional deaths, fewer births, and slower
net migration due to the pandemic and concomitant economic fallout. As a result, these population projections predict 55,000 fewer people by 2023
than had the pandemic not occurred and 71,000 fewer people by 2050." Population estimates for 2000 to 2019 are included with the projections data.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Y7O251EKVGztITUVvBScVJurWI16cqhX" target="_blank">
Compressed (8MB ZIP) file containing methods and technical documentation (PDF), estimates and projections by single-year of age, sex, and area (CSV), estimates and projections by age grouping, sex, race, and area (CSV), estimates and projections by sex, race, Hispanic origin, and area (CSV), and associated file layouts (PDF, 3 files)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://www.osbm.nc.gov/facts-figures/population-demographics/state-demographer/countystate-population-projections" target="_blank">
County/State Population Projections | NC OSBM</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Colorado State Demography Office, 2020 to 2050<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Colorado State Demography Office, 2020 to 2050
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county">
<H2 id="COSDO_Colorado_StateCounty_2020to2050v2019" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Colorado State Demography Office, 2020 to 2050
(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Colorado Population Projections V2019<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Colorado State Demography Office, 2020<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Colorado State Demography Office: "The Colorado State Demography Office is the primary state agency for
population and demographic information in Colorado. Its data are used by state agencies to forecast demand for facilities and services.
These data are also used by local governments and non-profit organizations in the state to anticipate growth or decline and to plan and
develop programs and community resources." The data provided here includes total population by county from the projections.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1yJGkK9I2vh9YDVx9EDpVtwFHLH7y_Aik" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.2MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF) and county total population by year (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demography.dola.colorado.gov/" target="_blank">
Colorado State Demography Office</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="ccr, extr, td" data-geog="state, county, subcounty" style="margin-top:10">Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia, 2020 to 2040 (vintage 2019)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), trend extrapolation of population over time, top-down adjustment, state, county and sub-county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia, 2020 to 2040 (vintage 2019)
<p>(Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), trend extrapolation of population over time, top-down adjustment, state, county and sub-county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="ccr, extr, td" data-geog="state, county, subcounty">
<H2 id="UVACooper_Virginia_StateCountyLargeTown_2020to2040v2019" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia, 2020 to 2040 (vintage 2019)
(Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), trend extrapolation of population over time, top-down adjustment, state, county and sub-county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Virginia Population Projections<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> University of Virginia, Weldon Cooper Center, Demographics Research Group, 2019<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the associated methodology: "...projections for the Commonwealth of
Virginia and its 133 localities—95 counties and 38 independent cities—for 2020, 2030, and 2040. We use a
combination of exponential growth, linear extrapolation, and Hamilton-Perry method to derive the projections.
The state population total is from the national projections, also developed by the Weldon Cooper Center’s
Demographics Research Group. The remaining state population characteristics for Virginia are aggregate sums
of projections for each of the 133 localities." Data includes projected population by five year age groups for all counties, and for large towns.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1KIuqH5NGrAjv2WV0r473Q_QcHcmuMTv6" target="_blank">
Compressed (1MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF), press release (PDF), projected population by age and sex for each area (XLS),
projected population totals for each area (XLS), and projected population totals for large towns (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demographics.coopercenter.org/virginia-population-projections" target="_blank">
Virginia Population Projections, Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Colorado State Demography Office, 2019 to 2050<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Colorado State Demography Office, 2019 to 2050
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysi, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county">
<H2 id="COSDO_Colorado_StateCounty_2019to2050v2018" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Colorado State Demography Office, 2019 to 2050
(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Colorado Population Projections V2018<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Colorado State Demography Office, 2019<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Colorado State Demography Office: "The Colorado State Demography Office is the primary state agency for
population and demographic information in Colorado. Its data are used by state agencies to forecast demand for facilities and services.
These data are also used by local governments and non-profit organizations in the state to anticipate growth or decline and to plan and
develop programs and community resources." The data provided here includes total population by county, metropolitan statistical area, and region, from the projections.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1EVZiMccy7PMfTmapHkUuXgcteVYf3pWp" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.2MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF) and county total population by year (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demography.dola.colorado.gov/" target="_blank">
Colorado State Demography Office</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Colorado State Demography Office, 2018 to 2050<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Colorado State Demography Office, 2018 to 2050
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county">
<H2 id="COSDO_Colorado_StateCounty_2018to2050v2017" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Colorado State Demography Office, 2018 to 2050
(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Colorado Population Projections V2017<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Colorado State Demography Office, 2018<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Colorado State Demography Office: "The Colorado State Demography Office is the primary state agency for
population and demographic information in Colorado. Its data are used by state agencies to forecast demand for facilities and services.
These data are also used by local governments and non-profit organizations in the state to anticipate growth or decline and to plan and
develop programs and community resources." The data provided here includes total population by county, metropolitan statistical area, and region, from the projections.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1-iMs5SYu7-iBIBEOgbRxthTRWNih6dLX" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.2MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF) and county total population by year (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demography.dola.colorado.gov/" target="_blank">
Colorado State Demography Office</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scen" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2017 to 2045
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2017 to 2045
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scenn" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="AKDOL_Alaska_StateBoroughCensusArea_2017to2045" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><br><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-weight:normal;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2017 to 2045
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Alaska Population Projections, 2017 to 2045<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2018<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report's introduction: "These population projections cover 2017 through 2045 for
Alaska by age and sex as well as for Alaska Native and region, borough, and census area populations."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1HZsws-akvChhhuGmzdKB7EN4CH-oNd0W/view?usp=sharing" target="_blank">
Compressed (1MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF), statewide file (XLS), Alaska Native population file (XLS), and borough/census area file (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180930004449/http://live.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/projections.cfm" target="_blank">
Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development: Alaska Population Projections (on Archive.org)</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2016)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2016)
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county">
<H2 id="COSDO_Colorado_StateCounty_2015to2050v2016" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2016)
(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Colorado Population Projections V2016<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Colorado State Demography Office, 2017<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Colorado State Demography Office: "The Colorado State Demography Office is the primary state agency for
population and demographic information in Colorado. Its data are used by state agencies to forecast demand for facilities and services.
These data are also used by local governments and non-profit organizations in the state to anticipate growth or decline and to plan and
develop programs and community resources." The data provided here includes total population by county, metropolitan statistical area, and region, from the projections.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1mr4_KWBQdUUeP3J0Xa4JyxVsorFe1co3" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.2MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF) and county total population by year (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demography.dola.colorado.gov/" target="_blank">
Colorado State Demography Office</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, ccr, empl, td, ensem, struct, scen" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">Washington State Office of Financial Mgmt., 2010 to 2040 with Supplement to 2050 (vintage 2017)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), employment-based, top-down adjustment, ensembling or combining methods, econometric or input–output analysis, scenario analysis, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Washington State Office of Financial Management, 2010 to 2040 with Supplement to 2050 (vintage 2017)
<p>(cohort component, Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), employment-based, top-down adjustment, ensembling or combining methods, econometric or input–output analysis, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, ccr, empl, td, ensem, struct, scen" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="WAOFM_Washington_StateCounty_2010to2040v2017" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Washington State Office of Financial Management, 2010 to 2040 with Supplement to 2050 (vintage 2017)
(cohort component, Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), employment-based, top-down adjustment, ensembling or combining methods, econometric or input–output analysis, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> 2017 Projections - County Growth Management Population Projections by Age and Sex: 2010-2040<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Washington State Office of Financial Management, Forecasting Division, 2017<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the associated report: "Pursuant to RCW 43.62.035, this document contains county population projections
prepared by the Office of Financial Management for planning under the Growth Management Act. State and county populations are provided at five-year
intervals between 2010 and 2040. The additional single-year interval projections between 2015 and 2040 are developed to accommodate the various GMA
planning targets specified by counties." Data includes projected population by age and sex, and 2017 "Supplemental Projections" to 2050.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1-XMNjojSq8M5BfykpGFZEmbL8XN0MQ9B" target="_blank">
Compressed (10MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF), charts for each county (PDF, 5 files), associated technical documentation (PDF, 3 files), components of change (XLS), and files covering population by area, age, and sex over time (XLS, 9 files)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://ofm.wa.gov/washington-data-research/population-demographics/population-forecasts-and-projections/growth-management-act-county-projections/growth-management-act-population-projections-counties-2010-2040-0" target="_blank">
Growth Management Act population projections for counties: 2010 to 2040 - 2017 projections</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="ccr, extr, td" data-geog="state, county, subcounty" style="margin-top:10">Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia, 2020 to 2040 (vintage 2016)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), trend extrapolation of population over time, top-down adjustment, state, county and sub-county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia, 2020 to 2040 (vintage 2016)
<p>(Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), trend extrapolation of population over time, top-down adjustment, state, county and sub-county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="ccr, extr, td" data-geog="state, county, subcounty">
<H2 id="UVACooper_Virginia_StateCountyLargeTown_2020to2040v2016" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia, 2020 to 2040 (vintage 2016)
(Hamilton-Perry (cohort change ratios), trend extrapolation of population over time, top-down adjustment, state, county and sub-county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Virginia Population Projections<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> University of Virginia, Weldon Cooper Center, Demographics Research Group, 2016<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Weldon Cooper Center: "Population projections for the Commonwealth of Virginia and its 133 localities—95
counties and 38 independent cities—for 2020, 2030, and 2040,
using a combination of exponential growth, linear extrapolation, and the Hamilton-Perry method (Hamilton and Perry, 1962)."
The data provided here includes projected total population for each area.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1usNaJ6eEWRJMix3YChv2mDSZCbi6PzeB" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.6MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF), and projected total population for each area (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demographics.coopercenter.org/virginia-population-projections" target="_blank">
Virginia Population Projections, Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="scen, struct" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Nevada Department of Taxation, 2016 to 2035
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(scenario analysis, econometric or input–output analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Nevada Department of Taxation, 2016 to 2035
<p>(scenario analysis, econometric or input–output analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="scen, struct" data-geog="state, county, region">
<H2 id="NVTax_Nevada_StateCountyCSA_2016to2035" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><br><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-weight:normal;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Nevada Department of Taxation, 2016 to 2035
(scenario analysis, econometric or input–output analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Nevada County Population Projections, 2016 to 2035<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Nevada Department of Taxation, 2016<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report (page 2, PDF page 4): "The Regional Economics Models, Inc. (REMI) model was used for these projections.
The REMI model provides information for all 17 counties by 23 major economic sectors. It looks at the dynamic economic and demographic
relationships between the 17 counties and the United States as a total. The 20 year projections are produced annually and will change
as more historical data becomes available or is revised. Because REMI looks at the relationship between changes in the economy and in
population, it is a useful tool for looking at how changes in either the structure of the population or the economy can impact the other.
For much of its history, Nevada’s growth had been driven by migration through job creation in the accommodations and food services sector
(the category which covers hotel casinos)." The report covers Nevada, its counties, and the Reno-Carson City-Fernley Combined Statistical Area.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Dz_HwOfKh2KORBR8_3is79fUBOg0Ig-X" target="_blank">
Compressed (1MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://tax.nv.gov/Publications/Population_Statistics_and_Reports/" target="_blank">
Nevada Department of Taxation: Population Statistics and Reports</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021 (updated in May 2021)
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scen" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2015 to 2045
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2015 to 2045
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scenn" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="AKDOL_Alaska_StateBoroughCensusArea_2015to2045" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><br><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2015 to 2045
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Alaska Population Projections, 2015 to 2045<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, 2016<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report's introduction: "These population projections cover 2015 through 2045 for
Alaska by age and sex as well as for Alaska Native and region, borough, and census area populations."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/12VAbJpI4NTUDJWqsy_FRUpKQ4ICyvd49/view?usp=sharing" target="_blank">
Compressed (1MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF), statewide file (XLS), Alaska Native population file (XLS), and borough/census area file (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161118040721/http://live.laborstats.alaska.gov/pop/projections.cfm" target="_blank">
Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development: Alaska Population Projections (on Archive.org)</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2015)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2015)
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county">
<H2 id="COSDO_Colorado_StateCounty_2015to2050v2015" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2015)
(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Colorado Population Projections V2015<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Colorado State Demography Office, 2016<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Colorado State Demography Office: "The Colorado State Demography Office is the primary state agency for
population and demographic information in Colorado. Its data are used by state agencies to forecast demand for facilities and services.
These data are also used by local governments and non-profit organizations in the state to anticipate growth or decline and to plan and
develop programs and community resources." The data provided here includes total population by county, metropolitan statistical area, and region, from the projections.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1QCzRsrbekYnuoD8TZxzrcBNUHuXviIOu" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.2MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF) and county total population by year (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demography.dola.colorado.gov/" target="_blank">
Colorado State Demography Office</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Kentucky State Data Center, 2015 to 2040<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Kentucky State Data Center, 2015 to 2040
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td" data-geog="state, region and county">
<H2 id="KSDC_Kentucky_StateCountyRegion_2015to2040" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Kentucky State Data Center, 2015 to 2040
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Projections of Population and Households -- State of Kentucky, Kentucky Counties, and Area Development Districts -- 2015-2040<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Kentucky State Data Center, 2016<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> Uses the cohort component model to project population for all 120 Kentucky counties and 15
Area Development Districts. From the methodology: "These projections were made using a 'bottom-up' approach, in which the county
projections were generated first and then aggregated to create projections for the Area Development Districts and the state.
Population counts by gender and 5-year age groups from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2015 Population Estimates served as the base population,
and the most currently available fertility, mortality and migration rates were used to project the change in each age cohort moving forward."
Data provided here include estimated and projected populations for
Kentucky counties and Area Development Districts, by age and gender. <br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1yQQsAjcj_cl_5ghZA-75wKmTrZl747kZ" target="_blank">
Compressed (50MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF), methodology (PDF), codebook (PDF), household and group quarters population estimates and projections by age and gender (CSV),
household and group quarters population estimates and projections by age, gender, and county (CSV), and household and group quarters population estimates and projections by age, gender, and Area Development District (CSV)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="http://ksdc.louisville.edu/data-downloads/projections/" target="_blank">
Population projections | Kentucky State Data Center</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in June 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county" style="margin-top:10">Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2014)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2014)
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, scen" data-geog="state, region, county">
<H2 id="COSDO_Colorado_StateCounty_2015to2050v2014" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Colorado State Demography Office, 2015 to 2050 (vintage 2014)
(cohort component, employment-based, scenario analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Colorado Population Projections V2014<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Colorado State Demography Office, 2015<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the Colorado State Demography Office: "The Colorado State Demography Office is the primary state agency for
population and demographic information in Colorado. Its data are used by state agencies to forecast demand for facilities and services.
These data are also used by local governments and non-profit organizations in the state to anticipate growth or decline and to plan and
develop programs and community resources." The data provided here includes total population by county, metropolitan statistical area, and region, from the projections.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1os3LPZUHmhbLMKPJsFIp1-dXJpjE0AZV" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.2MB ZIP) file containing methodology (PDF) and county total population by year (XLS)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://demography.dola.colorado.gov/" target="_blank">
Colorado State Demography Office</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, extr" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">Oklahoma Department of Commerce, 2012 to 2075<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, trend extrapolation of population over time, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Oklahoma Department of Commerce, 2012 to 2075
<p>(cohort component, trend extrapolation of population over time, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, extr" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="OKCommerce_Oklahoma_StateCounty_2012to2075" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Oklahoma Department of Commerce, 2012 to 2075
(cohort component, trend extrapolation of population over time, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Oklahoma State and County Population Projections Through 2075<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Oklahoma Department of Commerce, publication year not specified<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> State and and county population projections for Oklahoma.
The statewide model uses a cohort component method (not specified by name, but apparent given the data and methods information),
and county projections use linear trend extrapolation of population over time. Differences between the state and sum-of-counties by year
are added to the state population.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1cnht3wD2RWpexbXWJKF8Yw5vAXkXCzHq" target="_blank">
Compressed (1MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://www.okcommerce.gov/doing-business/data-reports/census-2020-demographics/" target="_blank">
Oklahoma Commerce: Census 2020 + Demographics</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, td, struct, scen" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">Washington State Office of Financial Management, 2010 to 2040 (vintage 2012)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, top-down adjustment, econometric or input–output analysis, scenario analysis, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Washington State Office of Financial Management, 2010 to 2040
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, top-down adjustment, econometric or input–output analysis, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, td, struct, scen" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="WAOFM_Washington_StateCounty_2010to2040v2012" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Washington State Office of Financial Management, 2010 to 2040 (vintage 2012)
(cohort component, employment-based, top-down adjustment, econometric or input–output analysis, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> 2012 Projections - County Growth Management Population Projections by Age and Sex: 2010-2040<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Washington State Office of Financial Management, Forecasting Division, 2012<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the associated report: "Development of population projections for the Growth Management Act (GMA)
is a shared responsibility. Pursuant to RCW 43.62.035, this document contains county population projections prepared by the Office of Financial
Management (OFM) for growth management planning. State and county populations are provided at five-year intervals between 2010 and 2040.
The additional single year interval projections between 2015 and 2040 were developed to accommodate the various GMA
planning targets specified by counties." Data includes projected population by age and sex.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1N01kzkhHwzhs-E3l_xr0yk0jZQtPvTXs" target="_blank">
Compressed (3MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF), charts for each county (PDF), net migration (XLS), and files covering population by area, age, and sex over time (XLS, 10 files)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://ofm.wa.gov/washington-data-research/population-demographics/population-forecasts-and-projections/growth-management-act-county-projections/growth-management-act-population-projections-counties-2010-2040" target="_blank">
Growth Management Act population projections for counties: 2010 to 2040 - 2012 projections</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, scen" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">Louisiana State University Department of Sociology, 2010 to 2030
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, scenario analysis, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Louisiana State University Department of Sociology, 2010 to 2030
<p>(cohort component, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, scen" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="LSU_Louisiana_StateParish_2010to2030" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><br><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-weight:normal;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Louisiana State University Department of Sociology, 2010 to 2030
(cohort component, scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Population Projections of Louisiana Parishes Through 2030<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Office of Electronic Services, Division of Administration, University of Louisiana, 2007 (publication year is based on indirect information)<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report Introduction: "This report summarizes the general findings of the Louisiana Parish Population Projections
Series, 2010-2030 developed for the State of Louisiana (Office of Electronic Services, Division of Administration) by Louisiana State University.
These are projections of the population by age (five year categories through age 85), race (white, African American/black, and other), and sex for
Louisiana Parishes between 2010-2030."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/14faiyMSCeQV9Yx3J7-Sj7DzLzpIGXRXj/view?usp=sharing" target="_blank">
Compressed (1MB ZIP) file containing technical report (PDF); statewide middle, high, and low series (XLS, three files); and parish files (XLS, 64 files)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://www.louisiana.gov/demographics-and-geography/" target="_blank">
Louisiana.gov: Demographics and Geography</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, stoch" data-geog="state" style="margin-top:10">Center on the Economics and Demography of Aging, Univ. of California, Berkeley, 2000 to 2050
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, stochastic simulation, state)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Center on the Economics and Demography of Aging, University of California, Berkeley, 2000 to 2050
<p>(cohort component, stochastic simulation, state)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, stoch" data-geog="state">
<H2 id="CEDA_California_State_2000to2050" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><br><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-weight:normal;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Center on the Economics and Demography of Aging, University of California, Berkeley, 2000 to 2050
(cohort component, stochastic simulation, state)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> SPECIAL REPORT: The Growth and Aging of California's Population: Demographic and Fiscal Projections, Characteristics and Service Needs<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> California Policy Research Center, 2003<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> Excerpt from its About This Report section:
"This report is part of a state-commissioned project undertaken after California enacted Senate Bill 910 (Vasconcellos, Statutes of 1999, Chapter 948),
mandating the Secretary of Health and Human Services to develop a plan to address the impending demographic, economic, and social changes triggered by
the state’s aging and increasingly diverse population."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1HzFl1QS82t2SBhUuwA9koOgQNQTNrBMH/view" target="_blank">
Compressed (2MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF) and technical appendix (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpages:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9x32c1kq" target="_blank">
eScholarship: SPECIAL REPORT: The Growth and Aging of California's Population: Demographic and Fiscal Projections, Characteristics and Service Needs</a> and
<a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.393.318" target="_blank">
CiteSeerX: California’s Uncertain Population Future</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="empl, hous, scen, struct" data-geog="state, county, region" style="margin-top:10">Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of Alaska Anchorage, 2000 to 2025
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(employment-based, housing-based, scenario analysis, econometric or input–output analysis, state, region and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of Alaska Anchorage, 2000 to 2025
<p>(employment-based, housing-based, scenario analysis, econometric or input–output analysis, state, region and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="empl, hous, scen, struct" data-geog="state, county, region">
<H2 id="ISER_Alaska_StateRegionBoroughCensusArea_2000to2025" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><br><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-weight:normal;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of Alaska Anchorage, 2000 to 2025
(employment-based, housing-based, scenario analysis, econometric or input–output analysis, state, region and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Economic Projections for Alaska and the Southern Railbelt, 2000-2025<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of Alaska Anchorage, 2001<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From page 13 of the report:
"The projections of economic and demographic variables for the state of Alaska and the South Central region presented
in this report were generated using the Institute of Social and Economic Research (ISER) MAP Econometric
Modeling System. This modeling system combines an economic module, a demographic module, a fiscal module, a regionalization module, and a
housing stock module."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1SEEK0IJbWzFaqvbI9QaYSh189HOsSNsk/view?usp=sharing" target="_blank">
Compressed (0.9MB ZIP) file containing report (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210416062535/https://iseralaska.org/publications/?id=1015" target="_blank">
Institute of Social and Economic Research: Publications</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in April 2021 (updated December 2023)
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, td, multireg, scen" data-geog="state" style="margin-top:10">U.S. Census Bureau, 1993 to 2020<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, employment-based, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>U.S. Census Bureau, 1993 to 2020
<p>(cohort component, employment-based, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, empl, td, multireg, scen" data-geog="state">
<H2 id="USCB_AllStates_State_1993to2020" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">U.S. Census Bureau, 1993 to 2020
(cohort component, employment-based, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2020<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1994<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report's Introduction: "This report presents population projections for the 50
States and the District of Columbia by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin for 1993 through 2020. "The projections use the
[cohort-component method.] The Cohort-component method requires separate assumptions for each component of population change: births, deaths,
internal migration, and international migration. These components are from various sources. State differentials in fertility are based on 1988 to 1990
births, 1990 census population distribution of females in childbearing ages for States, and 1990 national fertility data."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=10fehzuPF1VOhZdjzAxxHyA_bTlverZVk" target="_blank">
Compressed (8MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210506162915/https://www.census.gov/prod/www/population.html" target="_blank">
Population - Publications - U.S. Census Bureau</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021 (updated December 2023)
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, multireg" data-geog="state" style="margin-top:10">U.S. Census Bureau, 1988 to 2010<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, state)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>U.S. Census Bureau, 1988 to 2010
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, state)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, multireg" data-geog="state">
<H2 id="USCB_AllStates_State_1988to2010" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">U.S. Census Bureau, 1988 to 2010
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, state)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Projections of the Population of States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1988 to 2010<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1988<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report's introduction: "This report presents projections of the resident population for the
50 States and the District of Columbia by age, sex, and race for 1988 through 2010. These projections represent the first set of Census Bureau
State population projections produced by single years of age for individual calendar years. They were produced using an enhanced methodology
that solves several technical problems of the previous set of State population projections and permits updating for recent migration trends."
The report also includes total projected populations from state agencies (Table 8),
and contact information for state agencies that prepare population projections (Appendix B).<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1kli2GGhB3CD1MNWtcsBf6yGFdX-cldPR" target="_blank">
Compressed (11MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://www.census.gov/library/publications/1988/demo/p25-1017.html" target="_blank">
Projections of the Population of States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1988-2010</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, expost" data-geog="state" style="margin-top:10">U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 to 2000<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, ex-post analysis, state)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 to 2000
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, ex-post analysis, state)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, expost" data-geog="state">
<H2 id="USCB_AllStates_State_1980to2000" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 to 2000
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, ex-post analysis, state)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Provisional Projections of the Population of States, by Age and Sex: 1980 to 2000<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1983<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> The abstract provided on the associated web page: "This report presents projections of the resident
population of each State by 5-year age groups and sex for July 1, 1990 and 2000. These projections represent the first series of State
population projections released by the Census Bureau that are based on the 1980 census results and that are consistent with the middle series
of national population projections published as Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 922. This set of projections is provisional in
that it was developed with a cohort-component projections model employing residual measures of migration. The projections presented here are
not forecasts of each State's future growth patterns. They present the results of continuing the migration patterns by age and sex estimated
for the 1970-80 decade. When the full migration data are tabulated from the 1980 census question on residence 5 years ago, we will prepare a
revised set of State population projections using more refined measures of migration." The report includes analysis of previous projections,
and comparison of 1980 projected populations to 1980 Census populations.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Z9hwKnK7E5mnzwcMC9DXrG6Sqt6ClDZL" target="_blank">
Compressed (5MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://www.census.gov/library/publications/1983/demo/p25-937.html" target="_blank">
Provisional Projections of the Population of States, by Age and Sex: 1980 to 2000</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scen, multireg" data-geog="state" style="margin-top:10">U.S. Census Bureau, 1975 to 2000<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>U.S. Census Bureau, 1975 to 2000
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scen, multireg" data-geog="state">
<H2 id="USCB_AllStates_State_1975to2000" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">U.S. Census Bureau, 1975 to 2000
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Illustrative Projections of State Populations by Age, Race, and Sex, 1975-2000<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1979<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report's introduction: "This report presents illustrative projections of the resident population of
the fifty States and the District of Columbia, classified by age, race, and sex for the years 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995, and 2000, as well as data on
components of population change. These projections are based on revised gross migration data for the 1965-70 period and postcensal estimates of
net migration through 1975. The current set of State population projections was prepared using the cohort component method of demographic analysis.
This method permits the separate projection of the three components of population change--fertility, mortality, and net migration--for each age,
race, and sex group. The projections presented in this report contain a further refinement in methodology in that in-migration and out-migration
are treated separately, and civilian noncollege, military, and college populations are handled individually. The military and college populations
exhibit unique patterns of migration and warrant separate treatment. "This report present two main series of State population projections along
with a purely hypothetical series for comparison purposes. The series have common assumptions concerning projected fertility and mortality derived
from the fertility and mortality assumptions of Series II of the current set of national population projections. The major differences in population
growth between States is due to the third component--migration. Given the unpredictability of this component at the State level, several different
assumptions about net migration have been relied upon to illustrate the impact of differing levels of migration on population growth."
Uses a "pool" method to manage multi-regional migration.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1uq8j8_Swi8SMBf5DyZGGmpLxyZObA5dQ" target="_blank">
Compressed (14MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210506162915/https://www.census.gov/prod/www/population.html" target="_blank">
Population - Publications - U.S. Census Bureau</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021 (updated December 2023)
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scen" data-geog="state, region" style="margin-top:10">U.S. Census Bureau, 1975<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and region)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>U.S. Census Bureau, 1975
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and region)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, scen" data-geog="state, region">
<H2 id="USCB_AllStates_MSA_1975" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">U.S. Census Bureau, 1975
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, scenario analysis, state and region)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Projections of the Population of Metropolitan Areas: 1975<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1969<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> Excerpts from the report's page 1: "This report presents population projections to
1975 for metropolitan areas as defined in the 1960 Census. These metropolitan area projections, together with those for the nonmetropolitan
portion of each State, are consistent with the State projections previously published in report No. 375 of this series, and with the national
projections in report No. 381. The projections also take into account estimates of metropolitan and non metropolitan population change to 1965
and thus are consistent with estimates presented in report No. 371." "The projections were developed by a cohort component method whereby births,
deaths, and gross out- and in-migration were projected separately. Two main series are presented, differing according to the national fertility
assumptions employed. For analytical purposes, projections assuming no net inter-area migration are also shown. The alternative fertility assumptions
correspond to those developed as Series B (medium high) and Series D (low) for the national population projections. Differences of SEA fertility
rates from national rates are taken into account. A single set of projected national mortality rates by age and sex was used for all areas."<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1L6b6jv1dlrGa1XV9KXPqaWw_nHb0hB7X" target="_blank">
Compressed (5MB ZIP) file containing report with methods information (PDF)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210506162915/https://www.census.gov/prod/www/population.html" target="_blank">
Population - Publications - U.S. Census Bureau</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021 (updated December 2023)
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="scen" data-geog="state, county" style="margin-top:10">California Department of Finance, 1970 to 1985<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(scenario analysis, state and county)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>California Department of Finance, 1970 to 1985
<p>(scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="scen" data-geog="state, county">
<H2 id="CAFinance_California_StateCounty_1970to1985" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">California Department of Finance, 1970 to 1985
(scenario analysis, state and county)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Preliminary Projections of California Areas and Counties to 1985<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> California Department of Finance, 1967<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From page 1 of the report: "The assumptions underlying any set of population projections can be
divided into the general and the specific. The general assumptions state that the
basic conditions of the world will not deviate sufficiently from those expected to affect the population significantly.
Neither natural calamity nor fundamental institutional changes nor changes in the conditions of war and peace are considered.
Specific assumptions embrace deaths, births and migration."
The projections include total population projections by county for 1970, 1975, 1980, and 1985, along with total population estimates for 1960
and 1965. The model framework is unclear, but includes use of mortality, migration, and age specific birth rates.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=11oM-QQjKGXn78Q-bGYJiv3aRV-EGKQQ5" target="_blank">
PDF of report (4MB)</a><br>
<b>Associated webpage:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://hdl.handle.net/2027/uc1.c025510484" target="_blank">
Record and file on HathiTrust.org</a><br>
–Information and materials-link added here in May 2021
<b><a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="#TopSearch"></a></b></li>
</p></H2>
</details>
<details>
<summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, multireg, scen" data-geog="state" style="margin-top:10">U.S. Census Bureau, 1970 to 1985 (revised)<br>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:1em;font-weight:normal">(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p>
<a STYLE="text-decoration:none;display:none"
<p>U.S. Census Bureau, 1970 to 1985 (revised)
<p>(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state)</p></a></li>
</summary>
<li data-method="cc, td, multireg, scen" data-geog="state">
<H2 id="USCB_AllStates_State_1970to1985Revised" style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden"><strong><a>
<p style="margin:0px;font-size:0px;visibility:hidden">U.S. Census Bureau, 1970 to 1985 (revised)
(cohort component, top-down adjustment, multi-regional methods, scenario analysis, state and region)</p></a>
</font></strong></H2>
<p style="margin:0px;margin-top:-10px">
<b>Report or project title:</b> Revised Projections of the Population of States, 1970 to 1985<br>
<b>Publisher and year of publication:</b> U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1967<br>
<b>Brief description and notes:</b> From the report's page 1: "This report presents alternative series of projections of the population of
States for 1970 to 1985, taking into account national population projections and estimates of State changes in population that have become
available since the last State projections were prepared. Thus, they are consistent with the recent national population projections published
earlier this year in Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 359, and with estimates of State population, by age, published in Series P-25,
No. 354. "Four alternative series of projections are given here, based on reasonable alternative assumptions concerning future national fertility
and interstate migration. (Only one assumption concerning future mortality is used.) For analytical purposes, a set of projections assuming no net
migration is also shown. The projections are not intended as predictions, but rather as indications of the population distributions which would
develop on the basis of the assumptions regarding births, deaths, and interstate migration which were selected."
Uses a "pool" method to manage multi-regional migration.<br>
<b>Materials:</b> <a STYLE="font-size:1em;text-decoration:none;display:inline;padding:0" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1LSjv5RLQxAoMfsoeAocidpYKKX-tpThS" target="_blank">